The Senators arrived back home this week after a tough road trip where they went 1-3-1. They lost to Boston, San Jose, Los Angeles, and Phoenix before winning 4-3 in a shootout against Anaheim Sunday night. They then dropped a home game against Montreal on Tuesday, but followed it up with a win against Philadelphia on Thursday night.
Despite the win against the Flyers, this Senators team is one that is floundering amid their inability to score goals. They threw 46 shots at Jaroslav Halak in Tuesday’s 4-1 loss to the Habs, while only managing one goal on Brian Boucher in their 2-0 win on Thursday (the second goal was into an empty net). While it was nice to see Brian Elliott rebound from his recent poor performances with the shutout, it’s best not to get too caught up in a win over a team with just two wins in their past eleven games.
As could be expected, all the media focus has been on what’s gone wrong with this team. On Tuesday, Bryan Murray was quoted in the media describing his frustration with what he perceives as a lack of toughness on the Ottawa Senators, especially with Chris Neil injured. Among other things he noted that “we don’t go to the net much, or often enough for me”, and he cites this as a major factor in the team’s difficulties in creating offence.
The team currently sits in the middle of the packat 16th in goals for, but more tellingly their power play is ranked an awful 26th. Some of the issues with Ottawa’s power play may be related to the strategies being employed by the coaching staff. How many unsuccessful attempts to employ the cross-crease pass must be made before someone realizes the blatantly obvious play is not working anymore? I’m sorry Cory, Dany Heatley is gone now. Nonetheless, the bulk of the blame lies squarely on the shoulders of Ottawa’s offensive stars, especially Jason Spezza and Alex Kovalev.
Kovalev and Spezza have been taking a lot of heat lately from fans and the media alike, who have been quick to point to the terrible seasons they are having as a major cause of the Senators’ woes. Despite a goal against Anaheim, Spezza has been pretty cold, while Kovalev has been positively frigid. Kovalev has now gone 15 games without a goal, and has only three points on the power play this year. He has picked up his game slightly in recent days, with three assists in the last three games of the road trip, but the Senators need a lot more.
While the trio of Daniel Alfredsson, Milan Michalek and Mike Fisher continues to provide most of the team’s offence (44% actually), the team’s ostensible second line continues to disappoint. Case in point: in Tuesday loss to the Canadians, the Alfredsson-Michalek-Fisher line had the lone goal and 18 shots between them, while Kovalev, Spezza and Nick Foligno managed just 6. The Philly game wasn’t much better, but Foligno did score the game winner.
Coming over from Montreal this past summer, it was hoped that Alex Kovalev could avoid the notoriously inconsistent play that has defined his later career, and consequently GM Bryan Murray decided to roll the dice. The tought was that he would no longer be the focus of the offence, as he had been in Montreal, but a complimentary component on a team with several star players. However, the results so far have been less than encouraging. The old adage of “buyer beware” comes to mind, but there is still time for Kovalev to wake up.
While Kovalev’s streaky play has been well documented, Spezza has generally been much more consistent over his career. With only three goals so far this season, Spezza is well on his way to a career low. In Thursday’s game against the Flyers he was on the ice for just 14:44, and less than 10 minutes of that was even strength. Suggestions have been made that perhaps some sort of “Olympic pressure” has been distracting Spezza, but I think those writers are really fishing for something. Besides, there’s no pressure now; there’s no longer any chance of him making the Canadian Olympic team.
Rather than looking for complicated reasons for his slump, the most obvious cause is probably the answer. In this case, Spezza’s cold streak is likely a product of the departure of his previous line mate and notorious hater Dany Heatley. Couple this with a good old fashioned loss of confidence, and you have your explanation. Hopefully Spezza can adjust and find new legs, otherwise Cory Clouston will have him playing 14 minutes a night more often.
It’s not all bad for the Senators offence, so I’ll end on a more upbeat note. As I mentioned before, Alfredsson, Michalek and Fisher are all having solid seasons so far, with the later two on their way to career highs. Michalek continues to be everything Murray hoped he would be, and is on pace for 40 goals this year. Meanwhile any Senators Olympic talk has shifted from Spezza to Fisher, who has caught the attention of Team Canada with his recent play. With a few changes in luck and strategy, it’s still possible for this team to have a formidable offence.